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A female saleswoman in a suit is holding a calculator and smiling as she speaks with a male customer. They are sitting at a desk covered in paperwork and a small toy car.

What Is the Residual Value of My Lease?

05
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31
/
2025

When you lease a vehicle, one of the key terms you’ll encounter is residual value. Set by the leasing company at the beginning of your contract, this figure plays a key role in determining your monthly lease payment and buyout price. But what is it, exactly, and how does the calculation work? 

In this guide, learn all you need to know about residual value, from the definition and impacts to whether it’s based on the MSRP or selling price of a vehicle. By the end, you’ll be better equipped to compare lease offers, find the best deal for your needs and plan for the end of your lease with confidence. 

Key takeaways

  • The residual value of a leased vehicle is the amount the leasing company forecasts it will be worth at the end of the lease.
  • Residual value is calculated as a percentage of the car’s MSRP — not the negotiated selling price — and used to determine your monthly payment and buyout price. 
  • A higher residual value generally means lower monthly payments but a higher buyout price. 
  • Various factors can impact your residual value, such as a vehicle’s make, model, year, safety ratings and mileage. 

What is the residual value of a leased vehicle?

The residual value of a leased vehicle is the estimated worth of the car at the end of your lease, as determined by the leasing company. It’s decided at the start of your contract and used to determine your monthly payment amount and buyout price — the cost to purchase the vehicle when your lease is up. 

For example, if you lease a car with an MSRP of $30,000 and the residual price is $15,000, you could buy it out at the end of your lease for $15,000 (additional fees may apply). That $15,000 residual value would also help determine the car’s depreciation and finance charges, both of which impact your monthly payment. 

Calculating residual value

To get the residual value of a car, leasing companies typically multiply the Manufacturer’s Suggested Retail Price (MSRP) by the residual value percentage rate, which is often somewhere between 50% and 60%. 

For example, if a vehicle’s MSRP is $40,000 and the residual value percentage rate is 50%, the residual value at the end of the lease would be $20,000. To find out the residual value percentage offered on a lease you’re considering, you can ask the lessor directly or review your proposed lease agreement.

Factors impacting residual value

Forecasted residual values are impacted by several factors, which can vary between leasing companies. However, some of the common factors include:

  • Vehicle make, model, and year
  • Vehicle mileage allowance
  • Your location
  • Vehicle condition and maintenance expectations
  • Perceived reliability and safety of the vehicle
  • Model’s resale value
  • Perceived attractiveness of the vehicle in comparison to other used vehicles
  • Vehicle characteristics (e.g. trim lines, additional equipment, etc.)
  • Battery performance and driving range (when applicable)
  • Market fluctuations
  • Economic impacts
  • Government incentives (when applicable)

If you’re considering leasing a used car, the residual value will likely be less.

Is residual value based on MSRP or selling price?

The residual value is calculated as a percentage of the MSRP, not the negotiated selling price. But what’s the difference? 

The MSRP is the price the automaker recommends for the vehicle. However, dealers often acquire vehicles at wholesale prices, giving them room to discount the sale price below the MSRP and still make a profit. You can find the MSRP of a vehicle by checking the manufacturer’s website or its federally required Monroney window sticker. 

How residual value affects your lease

The residual value of a vehicle plays a key part in any lease agreement, as it it helps to determine your monthly payments and lease buyout cost. Here’s a closer look at how it works. 

Monthly payments

Calculating monthly lease payments is a bit complicated, but it all starts with the residual value of a car (the MRSP multiplied by the residual percentage). From there, leasing companies generally follow these steps:

  • Calculate your monthly depreciation: Amount financed - residual value / the months in the lease term
  • Calculate your finance charge: Amount financed + residual value * money factor (similar to an interest rate on a financed vehicle)
  • Calculate the monthly tax: Monthly depreciation + finance charge * tax rate
  • Calculate the monthly lease payment: Monthly depreciation + finance charge + tax

When it’s all said and done, the higher your residual value, the lower your monthly payments — and vice versa. However, a higher residual value also means a higher buyout cost at the end of your lease.

Lease buyouts

The residual value of a car is the amount you’re required to pay if you want to buy your leased vehicle at the end of your contract. In some cases, you can also opt to buy out a lease early — although it’ll usually involve paying the residual value plus your remaining payments and possibly an early termination fee.

A lease-end buyout can be beneficial in some situations, such as if you’re happy with the vehicle, it’s in good condition and the residual value is lower than the fair market value. However, if the residual value is more expensive than the fair market value or the vehicle needs expensive repairs soon, you can likely find a better deal by shopping around for another vehicle.

Prepare for the end of your lease

As the end of your lease approaches, you’ll need to think about your next steps. Do you want to trade in your leased vehicle for another one, buy your leased vehicle, or buy a different vehicle altogether? The best route will depend on your preferences, along with how the residual value fares in the market and if you owe any extra charges.

If you decide a lease buyout is the best choice, keep in mind — you don’t always have to cover the bill out of pocket. RefiJet offers lease buyout financing options through our network of lenders, allowing you to break the cost into manageable monthly payments over time. After just one application, we’ll shop your offer around to multiple lenders competing for your business.

Check your rates without hurting your credit score!

FAQs

Learn more about residual value and how it impacts the vehicle leasing process.

What is the meaning of residual value?

The residual value is the estimated worth of a leased vehicle at the end of the lease term. It’s determined by the leasing company at the beginning of the contract and used to calculate your monthly payments and potential buyout price.

Is the residual value of a car lease the same as the buyout price?

The residual value of a leased vehicle may be the buyout price but the two aren’t always the same. While the buyout price includes the residual value, it can also include other charges, such as an early termination fee and your remaining lease payments. 

If I want to buy my leased car, does the residual value matter?

Yes, if you want to buy your leased car, the cost will be based on the residual value. However, extra costs could also apply, such as a purchase fee.

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